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Top 14 - Round 20 Preview: Time running out as the spectre of relegation looms large

13 March 2009

Top 14 Logo

It may be the annual cross-Channel rugby battle this weekend – as ‘Les Bleus’ take on ‘Les Rosbifs’ at Twickenham – but Top 14 ploughs on regardless, with round 20 offering another opportunity for upsets given the number of players away on international duty.

Leaders Stade Toulousain will be keen to bounce back from last week’s Catalan mauling, but a home game against battling Castres may not be the predictable five-pointer it would have been without international absentees.

Second-placed Stade Francais, likewise, will have a plethora of first-choice players unavailable for their testing trip to the Stade Sapiac to take on Montauban.

That could pave the way for Perpignan to build on last week’s convincing victory over Toulouse – although they will have to overcome a revived Toulon side still fighting for their Top 14 survival.

Top 14 table

The spectre of relegation has hung over basement club Mont-de-Marsan all season and they surely must record a home win against play-off chasing Brive if they are to harbour serious hopes of remaining at the top table.

Bourgoin also need to start picking up points to ensure against relegation, but a trip to Clermont Auvergne looks ominous for their hopes this weekend, while Dax’s seven-match losing streak faces further extension with a visit to Bayonne’s Jean Dauger – where the division’s fifth-placed team have yet to lose so far this season.

Montauban v Stade Francais, Stade Sapiac, 13/03/09, 20.35

Montauban go into tonight’s game looking to bounce back after successive away defeats (at Castres and Stade Toulousain), and the visit of second-placed Stade Francais could be perfectly timed. The capital’s giants lost 26-11 at Brive when they were handicapped by international absentees two weeks ago, and this time around they will also have to contend without the injured duo of Juan-Martin Hernandez and Pascal Pape, as well as the suspended David Attoub. Montauban, by contrast, welcome back their captain and future coach Marc Raynaud, as well as Vilimoni Delasau and Rida Jahouer, both away on sevens duty last weekend. Stade’s Lionel Beauxis is available, and recent recruit Agustin Pichot could make his (second) debut for the men in pink after being named among the subs.
Verdict: Montauban win

             

Toulon v Perpignan, Stade Mayol, 14/03/09, 14.30

Confidence shouldn’t be a problem for Perpignan after their 32-8 downing of champions Stade Toulousain last week, but Toulon have shown greater cohesion of late and go into this match having taken 12 points from their last four games. Player-coach Tana Umaga is still sidelined, and the lack of a reliable goal-kicker remains a problem – hence the confirmed summer signing of Leinster’s Felipe Contepomi – but there’s no doubting the renewed spirit within the camp. South African Joe van Niekerk continues to lead impressively, Sonny Bill Williams appears to be improving with each game and the Stade Felix Mayol remains a tough venue to visit. But, having said all that, Perpignan have only lost two of their last 13 league games and know another five points here could see them claim top spot by the end of the weekend.
Verdict: Perpignan win

Mont-de-Marsan v Brive, Guy Boniface, 14/03/09, 14.30

Time is rapidly running out for basement club Mont-de-Marsan to make their move, and memories of their 53-11 hammering at Brive – their biggest defeat of the season – will hardly prove inspirational. Until last week their recent form had been combative – even if they were losing – but a 33-6 humbling at troubled Montpellier hinted at battle fatigue beginning to set in. Brive, by contrast, travel with confidence after just one league defeat in 10, although they will have to make do without two fly-halves as Andy Goode (England) and Luciano Orquera (Italy) are both in international duty.
Verdict: Brive win

 

Clermont v Bourgoin, 14/03/09, 14.30

This is a vital game for both sides, although for contrasting reasons as Clermont seek to consolidate fourth place while Bourgoin need points to avoid the relegation zone. Les Jaunards have only lost once at the Marcel Michelin this season – to Montauban – and will be desperate for a win after last week’s defeat at Biarritz – their eighth of the season. Bourgoin, meanwhile, are just three points clear of 13th-placed Dax and remain vulnerable after two successive losses. A defensive bonus point would be considered a success, but Clermont have passed 40 points in each of their last three home games. Fly-half Brock James goes into the match on an amazing run of 29 consecutive successful goal kicks in the league.
Verdict: Clermont win

Bayonne v Dax, Jean Dauger, 14/03/09, 14.30

If Brive are currently Top 14’s form side – on results alone – then Dax are its fall guys. Thomas Lièvremont's men have now lost seven consecutive league matches and are in such freefall that Pro D2 seems just a missed tackle away. And yet, Bourgoin (three points ahead), Toulon (five) and Castres (six) are all within reach if they can somehow halt their inexorable slide. But not this week. Bayonne remain unbeaten at the Jean Dauger in Top 14 and need the points themselves to continue their push for Heineken Cup qualification. Last week they lost fifth place to Brive and a win is essential to stave off the emerging threat from re-born Biarritz.
Verdict: Bayonne win

Toulouse v Castres, Ernest Wallon, 14/03/09, 16.30

The Top 14 leaders and defending champions have stuttered of late, and will be further taxed on Saturday by another raft of international absentees. News that Byron Kelleher is back in training is a welcome boost but Frederic Michalak will have to continue at No 9 for the time being with Jean-Baptiste Elissalde also sidelined by injury. International discards Clement Poitrenaud, Benoit Lecouls and Vincent Clerc ensure Stade continue to carry players of the utmost quality, and Castres will have to make do without their own international duo of Lionel Nallet and Sebastien Tillous-Borde. The visitors may go in with the better recent record – one loss in four compared to Toulouse’s two – but Guy Noves’ team know they can’t afford any slip-ups at home after last week’s drubbing at Perpignan.
Verdict: Stade Toulousain win

Montpellier v Biarritz, Yves Du Manoir, 14/03/09, 20.35

The final game of the weekend offers an intriguing match up between coastal rivals Montpellier and Biarritz. The hosts will be buoyed after trouncing Mont-de-Marsan 33-6 last weekend as they finally halted a depressing run of six league defeats in eight, but was that result a blip or really the beginning of a brighter post-Didier Nourault future? Biarritz are bound to test their resolve after four wins in five, and the players will be keen to give president Serge Blanco a boost after the French legend underwent minor heart surgery this week. The ever impressive Imanol Harinordoquy will be missed but American speedster Takudzwa Ngwenya is back from sevens duty with the US.
Verdict: Biarritz win

 

 

 
 
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