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Six Nations: France out to defy the odds as confident Wales seek record-equalling win

27 February 2009

RBS Six Nations logo

Bookmakers earn their crust by taking hard-earned cash from enthusiastic punters so when odds of between 8/11 and  8/13 are being offered on Wales to win in Paris tonight it makes sense to take note.

France don’t often go down on home turf but Wales – Europe’s strongest team – will travel confident in the knowledge they have emerged victors in three of their last five visits to the French capital.

They also crossed the Channel buoyed by a run of eight successive Championship wins and bolstered by the return to their ranks of IRB International Player of the Year Shane Williams.

Combine all that with a confusing French selection policy, an irritated head coach (Marc Lièvremont) and a blood-hungry press and you have all the ingredients for a Welsh rout.

But that would be to think in a logical and coherent manner – something alien to French rugby at its best, which is renowned equally for its off-the-cuff flair and ability to confound.

To read the press this week one could be forgiven for thinking Lièvremont's mob are destined for such a Friday-night drubbing that it would be unsuitable viewing for children – perhaps that was the true reason behind the unbelievably late kick-off time – but there is enough talent and international savvy in this team to make the Welsh earn their spurs tonight.

After all, this is a French side boasting the outstanding running skills of players such as Cedric Heymans, Yannick Jauzion and the exciting Stade Toulousain youngster Maxime Medard – this time named in his favoured full-back position. Up front they have brought back wizened veteran Sylvain Marconnet alongside Fabien Barcella, while everyone’s favourite ‘caveman’ Sebastien Chabal renews acquaintance with skipper Lionel Nallet in the second row.

A back row of Imanol Harinordoquy, Fulgence Ouedraogo and Thierry Dusautoir is also not to be sniffed, and yet… the doubts remain.

There is a two-fold reason behind the French media giving Lièvremont such a hard time that this most equable of men began to snarl during Wednesday’s press conference.

 

The first is the disappointing results and performances of ‘Les Bleus’ in recent months; the second is a baffling selection policy. The media, not unreasonably, has linked the latter to the former, and that is why Lièvremont is now coming under pressure.

The naming of 20-year-old battering ram Mathieu Bastareaud in the centres is not the problem – he is an immense talent (literally) and could cause Wales all sorts of problems tonight. Rather, it is the continual chopping and changing of his preferred half-back axis.

Injuries, admittedly, have played their part, but Lièvremont's decision to play an out-of-form centre at fly-half (Benoit Baby) together with a novice scrum-half (Morgan Parra) picked primarily for his supposed goal-kicking ability has irked many onlookers.

The biggest winners of this strange selection policy – apart from France’s opponents – appear to be Stade Toulousain, who are able to take on Montauban in Saturday’s Top 14 clash with considerable talents of Jean-Baptiste Elissalde at No 9 and David Skrela at No 10.

Lièvremont's agitation at the continued questioning of his half-back selections was clear for all when he finally snapped during Wednesday’s press conference.

“Well, listen, if we win we’ll be right, and if we loose you can say that we are incompetent and pass us off as idiots,” he told the assembled media.

The problem for Lièvremont, however, is that he is trying to manage the twin aims of building a team for the next World Cup – still two years away – while also encouraging his players to express themselves on the pitch. Results matter, of course, but it is the performance and the building process that is more important to him.

Will anyone really give a damn if France fail to win the 2009 Six Nations but romp to World Cup victory in New Zealand in 2011?

Unfortunately for Lièvremont, however, patience is an almost redundant trait in modern-day professional sport and the sands of time are not running in his favour.

Of course, that will all be forgotten should France defy the odds and put in a performance that stuns a team seeking back-to-back Grand Slams for the first time in 100 years. And no-one likes baffling the bookies quite like the French do. Just ask the All Blacks.

 

 

 
 
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